Rajasthan and Gujarat have recorded generous monsoon rain between June 1 and July 29. Rajasthan is surplus by 55% and Gujarat by 51%. In fact, West Rajasthan is large rain excess with 88% surplus rain whereas east Rajasthan is witnessing a surplus of 36%. Similarly, Saurashtra and Kutch is surplus by 61% and the Gujarat region by 44%. Usually, east Rajasthan receives more rain in comparison to West Rajasthan. The same goes for Gujarat, Saurashtra and Kutch usually receive less rainfall in comparison to the Gujarat region.
Monsoon trough was persisting over Central parts of the country and has given decent rainfall over Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh. Now the axis of the monsoon trough is at its normal position over Indo Gangetic plains. Rain activities have subsided significantly over Gujarat and Rajasthan for the last 2 days. Now also we do not expect any significant increase of rain over these States. Monsoon is expected to remain weak over both the states until August 2nd or 3rd. Cyclonic circulation is expected to form over Southwest Rajasthan and adjoining parts of South Pakistan leading to increased rain activities over Rajasthan and thereafter over Gujarat from August 4.
Rajasthan and Gujarat may continue with good rain thereafter for at least next 3-4 days. We can say that first half of August will also remain good in terms of rainfall for both the states.
Credit: Sky Met Weather